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Solild Wager wins 2018 Cary Grant Stakes at Delmar
Solid WagerThucydides observed that "Hope is an expensive commodity." And "The usual thing among men is that when they want something they will, without any reflection, leave that to hope. While, they...
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Last of the year - the Sixth at Santa Anita
Trainer James Cassidy appears to me as if he could walk straight onto the set of Gunga Din if something happens to Victor McLaughlin.“I don’t call it prediction. I call it ‘creating reasonable...
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Next Shares in the San Gabriel, 2019
Much of the cognitive research of the day is around and about predictable irrational bias. There are different tyeps of bias, and I feel if I encountered several of them in the run up to the San...
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The Chad Count
Source: PaulickReportChad Brown, who led all trainers in earnings for the third consecutive year, sent out the winners of 224 races from 297 starters with 839 starts for earnings of $27,546,057 in...
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Jack Kerouac, Reporter for Turf Authority
Off topic for fun - One of these days have to try and check out the Kerouac collection at the New York Public Library - among the offbeat charms are his turf writing, an out-shoot or adjunct to his...
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Bigger Picture, Conquest Tsunami, City of Light: Jan 27-28 - Stakes Action
Bigger Picture wins Connally Turf Cup at Sam Houston Park.Conquest Tsunami wins Clockers' Corner StakesCity of Light in the Pegasus World CupAll the races that day....
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Roots of prediction - The Weather Experiment
There is much to learn about the days when the weather was an impossibly dark swirl, when its causes were mostly imagined, and when modern society took the path toward reasonable, repeatable...
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Be eyes-open to risk
Starting over again to study the markets. Feb 2019By Boron Woofit, C.P.A.At any given time, various factors are in chorus or conflict when it comes to the economy. Trying to get a handle on them seems...
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Nothing to fear but inversion fear
The concerns of this week continue to follow the established theme. There is a recession coming, or maybe not. A symptom or cause involves bonds.On the bond side. Negative Yields Deepen in Europe says...
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Noise and blur
Stocks rose on Friday – immediate reason given: Hope that a US-China tariff deal would be struck. Dow has gone over 26,000. Thus regaining ground lost on losses that started in August. That could mean...
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Stock buyback!
Nettlesome Seas.Factors emerge and gain attention as deciding underlying factors in market moves, then subfactors arise or yet another factor altogether emerges to join the deciding forces, making for...
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When models meet mystery
One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is Now Failing https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-03-01/one-of-wall-street-s-most-popular-trading-strategies-is-now-failing
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Should you be cautiously optimistic or guardedly so?
Mar 7 Thursday. Dow Falls 133 - lowest level in 3 weeks - ahead of Jobs Data - People worry that more job growth will embolden the Fed to raise interest rates - but the numbers will come in badly - and...
View ArticleTakes on pace
xxIn an exciting finish, #5 Haikai takes the Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct!Trainer @KPMRacingStable, Owners Shadwell Stable with Jockey @RajivMaragh on the mount! Many thanks for @SpendthriftFarm for...
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Dimon's in the rough
Podcast in review. Big banker’s semaphore - America’s least hated banker – Jaime Dimon: What does he think about fundamentals? Fundamentals of foreign policy we’re used to were steadier. There are...
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The Steady Beyers Signal
R6 OP 3-16-19Today selected r9 #3 and #9 to w-p-s and in ex box. That is Sonneteer (3) and Rated R Superstar (9). The former is 3rd off layoff. Has been steady. The bet is that something goes wrong...
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The Santa Anita horse carnage of January and February is receding into memory, a few days before the track reopens. Id hope to take a look at that from an analytical perspective at some future point....
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Gulfstream mounts Skip Away
This doesn't relate to this post. But for what it's worth - it betokens the old Epitomigm:"What's the difference between winning by a nose and losing by a nose?"*On Friday March 30, Gulfstream Park...
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