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Irad and Jose in dead heat
Great fun - got half of this! Had Chug's Profiteer, who shared spot with Kurlov. Nice start to Memorial Day Weekend.And Ortiz bros DEAD HEAT in the third at #Belmont!...
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Man O' War 2018
Champion of just about 100 years ago - Man O' War standing proud and tall.The Man o' War Stakes for 2018 took place on May 12. Run on the turf at the somewhat oddball distance of 1 3/8 miles, the race...
View ArticleSidetrack - Quotian Cues
http://dispatchtelegraph.tumblr.com/post/174007595149/loopedgifs-ball-machine"Eplainations hide more than they reveal." - David Weinberger, author.Everything tells us our world is not a clockwork...
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Hunt takes the Shoemaker Mile on Memorial Day 2018
At right, Hunt.Bayes theorem focuses on the frequent occasions when we have sound intuitive judgments about the probability of some event and want to understand how to alter those judgments as actual...
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Panalopy of irreducibly subjective judgments
Irish Freedom arrived at Churchill.“Synthesis is an art that requires reconciling irreducibly subjective judgments.” Excerpt From Superforecasting, Philip E. Tetlock & Dan GardnerGot a newsletter...
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Lopez rides Axtell to course record at Bemont June 15
Paco Lopez rode Axtell to course record of 1:06.78 for 6F on the Inner Turf at Bemont June 15.A brilliant Friday it was on June 15 2018, as the steeds went to post at venerable Belmont Park. The 7th at...
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Justify this ... and the Triple Crown
Before taking a page out of The Black Swan, a look at the 2017 Kentucky Derby, the most analyzed of races of the year. Then we will see what the Swan said.THE KENTUCKY DERBY 2018Let's look at the 2018...
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Cherry picking times – a look back at the San Carlos
American Anthem and St Joe Bay vie gallantly in San Carlos Stakes 2018.[June23, 2018 - Santa Anita Racetrack - Arcadia, Calif.] - The mysterious hand again descended. Here it was, the 80th running of...
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Up the Ante bests Raging Bull in Manila Stakes 2018 on July 4th
A brain numbing heatwave was continuing as a raucously divided America came to celebrate the 4th of July in parades and sporting events. Among the latter include the Manila Stakes, held at a mile on...
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Blacktype: Read all about it!
It’s been a while since the black-as-jet 7 year old Blacktype (FR) has seen the winner’s circle, and they can say about him as they do of many veteran equines (‘he may have lost a step’) but Blacktype...
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Voodoo Song, The Forbidden Apple Stakes 2018
Heuristics save the day-o. Mathematician and teacher G. Polya was one of the 20th Century’s most noted voices for heuristic reasoning – described on the dust jacket of his paperback epic How To Solve...
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Catapult in Eddie Read at Delmar
Handicapping is not a test of ability to apply formula – it’s a test of creative intelligence.’So writes Andrew Beyer, by far the most famed handicapper of this generation. Experience in handicapping...
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Woodbine Mile 2018 - Oscar Performance
Mile turf races are immense fun, especially the annual Woodbine Mile that our Canadian brethren have put on for the last 20 or so years. Oscar Performance (7), Diversedero (8), Good Samaritan (1) and...
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Signal, noise and timing
Read WSJ article about timing the market. In horse racing and investing both - timing seems to be a rare trick.🔃 Retweet if you're team "bite."❤️ Like for "savage."Firenze Fire held on despite some...
View ArticlePreview: The Beldame Stakes 2018
Scratching my head? Good way to start! Trying something different: Which is: Riffing rather than writing a race prediction. Clearly, since we usually run these things after the inconvenient fact, this...
View ArticleEnable in the Arc
Lovely ride from Frankie!!! 😍🐎#ArcDeTriomphepic.twitter.com/AiPJwYb1gw— Betsid (@BetSidshops) October 7, 2018
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Heurisms to live by
For many horseplayers, handicapping is first of all a mental game. Of course it becomes very visceral and far from Platonic when you place your money on this horse or that, but I tend to think it’s the...
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Looking at some Breeders Cup statistics
The Breeders' Cup races present a unique handicapping challenge.The quality of the combatants goes deep in each race.You and most of the other punters end up overlooking a classy one that comes...
View Article'Ave a Larf Oct 31 2018
Horseplayer who spent 9 hours marking up Form is still picking Enable, Monomoy Girl, and Game Winner. pic.twitter.com/rDaD40m8ON— The Racing Onion (@RacingOnion) October 31, 2018As time may dull the...
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