Silent Bird takes the Midnight Lute
Kent Desourmaux wins with Silent Bird in the Midnight Lute at Santa Anita on Dec 30, 2017 Source: Eclipse[ARCADIA, CALIF.] -- It was the last weekend of the year of fake news but it was also the first...
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Also, on last day of 2017, sharing a link to Pinterest page that highlights some of the exciting races of the year just past.
View ArticleMemorable horse races of 2017
By Jlvsclrk - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, LinkOn YouTube there is posted a collection of memorable races from the year just passed. The list starts off with the Bing Crosby Stakes at Delmar, and it is...
View ArticleItsInThePost in the San Gabriel - Honest!
Tyler Baze aboard ItsInThePost (FR)On 6 January epiphany day at Santa Anita race track in Arcadia California, when much attention is focused on the Sham Stakes for newly minted 3 year olds, we await...
View ArticleSonneteer sings in Fifth Season at Oaklawn
Sonneteer training for 2017 Kentucky Derby. Source: Blood Horse“Forecasting is all about estimating the likelihood of something happening - From SuperforecastingLet's take a look back at the...
View ArticleConquest Tsunami emergent from the ashes - Race 9 - Santa Anita, Jan 20 2018...
While in a waiting mode on a number of other interesting projects on my docket, I turned my attention to the 9th Race at Santa Anita -- an allowance style optional claimer with a purse of $80, 000 set...
View ArticleGun Runner wins Pegasus World Cup - 2017
Gun Runner had plenty of gas in the tank as he triumphed in his last run at the Pegasus World Cup. Courtesy: Cowboy Rex Tillerson. Jan 27 sees the second running of the Pegasus World Cup - at $16...
View ArticleLooking at the charts - Rollup of addendas
As an Feb 17 addenda - let's take a look at Matt Berneier and Dan Illman of the DRF looking at the runup to the race.Scanning other analysts' views is one of the traits of a superforecaster, per...
View ArticleAvery Island gains G3 Withers victory at Aqueduct
Sharing this here as an example of a rubric for analyzing Derby Trail 3-y-olds. The analysis is the work of David Aragona, who is the NY TimeformUS analyst for DRF.#3, BAL HARBOUR (6-1): Like Firenze...
View ArticleWilbur Willard
Lillianhttp://gutenberg.net.au/ebooks11/1100651h.htmlWhat I always say is that Wilbur Willard is nothing but a very lucky guy, because what is it but luck that has been teetering along Forty-ninth...
View ArticleSay Om - in the Thunder Road
Cool for cats Robert Mitchum played the role of Junior Johnson in a film that has nothing to do with this stakes race as far as I know.On Feb 10, 2018, the $100,000 6-horse Thunder Road Stakes field is...
View ArticleSixth Race Santa Anita March 4, 2018 - Play Hard To Get
Just a quick look at a point. Turf races are often paceless. This particular optional claimer seemed very much so. In this case - and it may be anomolous for all I know - the pacelessness was pointed....
View ArticleSynchrony clicks in FairGrounds Handicap
Synchrony clicks in FairGrounds HandicapThe FairGround in New Orleans sees a sunny day with temperatures in the '70s, on Feb 17. The denizens of The Place that Care Forgot go to the track for the Risen...
View ArticleIt's Flamboyant in the San Francisco Mile at Golden Gate Fields
It had been a while for Flamboyant, but the 7-year-old passed the $1-million mark in earnings with a victory in the San Francisco Mile on Turf at Golden Gate Fields.Spring was in bloom and the turf...
View ArticleFire Away in the Danger's Hour Stakes, 2018
Fire Away is in the Red Hat and Black Silks running 6th at this point.“Often - remarkably good probability estimates arise from a remarkably crude series of assumptions.” - Excerpt From...
View ArticleRamblings, and What a View The American, Race 8 at Santa Anita, April 2018
Had a chance recently to read some blog posts on machine learning exercises related to horse race handicapping.* It's a natural thing for grad students to do - search for a problem that may win friends...
View ArticleHeart to Heart in Makers Mile
Heart to Heart led all the way, winning The Makers Mile by 1 3/4 L.If your local weatherman tells you that there is a 40% chance of rain tomorrow one way to interpret that is that in 40% of his...
View ArticleJustify this ... Black Swan with legs?
Before taking a page out of The Black Swan, a look at the 2017 Kentucky Derby, the most analyzed of races of the year. Then we will see what the Swan said.Let's look at the 2018 Kentucky Derby and...
View ArticleHappy Valley Triple Trio Tales in Business Week
Discussed here is Bill Benter - he of a fabled Hong Kong Happy Valley track betting syndicate - the one reputed to have made the - or one of the - biggest killings of all time, and then not cashed...
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